1024 Terabytes on a single hard drive in 5 years?

[Mr.Magnetichead]

Dell and their like. A.K.A shitty computers bought by shitty people.

[BlueGene]

I some how doubt we will have 1024 terabytes on a single hard drive available by 2011. Look even if we say that already in 2006 1 terabyte is available on a hard drive then according to a simplified version of Moore’s Law (Technology capacity doubles every 18 months) this is what we will have:

18 months – 2 terabytes
36 months – 4 terabytes
54 months – 6 terabytes
72 months – 12 terabytes

Only in 2012 or 6 years we will reach 12 terabytes.

I’m not talking about DELL, I was talking about average hard drive size.

[Mr.Magnetichead]

Moore's Law isn't accurate any more.

[Grudge]

That's quite a bastardisation of Moores law.

[BlueGene]

Mr.Magnetichead: Moore's Law is still accurate, where are you getting this from? If anything we aren't reaching certain points because productions cost increase, not the other way around.

Grudge: No, it really isn't.

[BlueGene]

Also look at this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hard_disk#2000s

1991 - 100 megabytes
1995 - 2 gigabytes
1997 - 10 gigabytes
2002 - 137 gigabytes
2005 - 500 gigabytes

[^misantropia^]

Mr.Magnetichead: Moore's Law is still accurate, where are you getting this from? If anything we aren't reaching certain points because productions cost increase, not the other way around.

Not quite. Take CPU speeds for instance, they're not doubling every 18 months anymore because we're hitting the limits of current technology (you can only miniaturize so much before quantum effects kick in).

[^misantropia^]

http://www.p2pnet.net/story/7929

That article is the biggest pile of horse manure I've seen in quite a while.

"But now there's a way to rotate or spin the individual electrons that make up, or surround, the molecule," he says.

Bullocks. Electrons swarm in probabilistic clouds around atoms. Yes, you could alter the spin of a single electron but there is no way to pick a specific electron. Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, anyone? Anyway, the article's footprint should've given it away:

Thomas is a 30-year pioneer whose projects include a computer with a 3D display, instant response, able to run every available OS and application simultaneously, virtually no power consumption or moving parts and complete security - and whose physical component is about the size of a pack of playing cards.

[BlueGene]

You were serious until you were proven wrong.

[BlueGene]

Mr.Magnetichead: Moore's Law is still accurate, where are you getting this from? If anything we aren't reaching certain points because productions cost increase, not the other way around.

Not quite. Take CPU speeds for instance, they're not doubling every 18 months anymore because we're hitting the limits of current technology (you can only miniaturize so much before quantum effects kick in).

For the most part it's accurate ofcourse it's not 100% maybe 60% but on a larger scale it's pretty accurate.

[BlueGene]

liposuction

[Turbine]

Emoticons

[Turbine]

So 5 years from now we will never need to delete a single file from our PC's?

Can you imagine defraging a 1024 Tera HDD?

[Scourge]

So 5 years from now we will never need to delete a single file from our PC's?

Can you imagine defraging a 1024 Tera HDD?

The comparative processor and ram speed should keep it similar to what we deal with now. It took roughly the same amount of time for me to defrag my 1.2 gig years ago as it does now for my 160g roughly. Back then I couldn't fathom filling up gigs of space, now it's pretty common. It will all be relative I would imagine.

[Chupacabra]

This is why I am holding off on buying a new computer right now.

[Foo]

I didn;t read the thread, but has anyone covered this being the reason TB isn't going to buy a new hard drive at this time?

[BlueGene]

So 5 years from now we will never need to delete a single file from our PC's?

Can you imagine defraging a 1024 Tera HDD?

Defragging is only needed for Fat/NTFS file systems, I just read that in Linux it's not required at all and makes little difference. So I think in 5 years it wont be an issue for even Windows.

[MKJ]

I didn;t read the thread, but has anyone covered this being the reason TB isn't going to buy a new hard drive at this time?

leave that to mr herpes